Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 32

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Consadole Sapporo		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.4
	2.62	3.56	2.38	Watch
	2.78	3.83	2.44
	2.72	3.76	2.4	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.3
	2.77	3.52	2.46	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)	3.62 ↑ (3.58)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
34.7%

Draw
26%

Kyoto Sanga
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugeno T. (G) 88. Baba S. 50. Okamura D. 3. Park Min-Gyu 33. Kondo T. 25. Osaki L. 27. Arano T. 4. Suga D. 14. Komai Y. 11. Aoki R. 7. Suzuki M.	94. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 6. Misao Y. 19. Kaneko D. 7. Kawasaki S. 39. Hirato T. 9. Marco Tulio 99. Rafael Elias 14. Hara T.
Substitutes
20. Bakayoko A. 8. Fukai K. 99. Kobayashi Y. 17. Kodama J. (G) 6. Nakamura T. 9. Sanchez J. 30. Tanaka H.	10. Fukuoka S. 96. Lucas Oliveira 77. Murilo 26. Ota G. (G) 44. Sato K. 23. Toyokawa Y. 37. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Petrovic M.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Okamura D. ⚽, Baba S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Arano T. ↓, Fukai K. ↑,
65', Suzuki M. 🟨,
67', Hirato T. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
67', Marco Tulio ↓, Toyokawa Y. ↑,
70', Baba S. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
70', Suzuki M. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
71', Miyamoto Y. ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
71', Kaneko D. ↓, Murilo ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Fukuda S. (Own goal),
81', Misao Y. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
88', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
88', Kondo T. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 2.

Recent matches Consadole Sapporo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyoto is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Kyoto have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Consadole Sapporo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
21.09.24	Machida Zelvia - Consadole Sapporo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
04.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	6:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
22.09.24	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.09.24	Kyoto Sanga - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Kyoto Sanga - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
15.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Consadole Sapporo	2:0
19.08.23	Kyoto Sanga - Consadole Sapporo	3:0
19.05.23	Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga	2:1
02.07.22	Kyoto Sanga - Consadole Sapporo	2:1
07.05.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
Japan J League Cup
20.04.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga	4:1
13.04.22	Kyoto Sanga - Consadole Sapporo	3:2

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