The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 41%
Draw 28.4%
Tokyo 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.7%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
27.1%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 46.4% โ 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Tokyo (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tokyo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 22. Sugai H. 10. Fukuoka S. 7. Kawasaki S. 8. Yonemoto T. 77. Murilo de Souza 93. Nagasawa S. 31. Hiraga S.
13. Hatano G. (G) 32. Doi K. 3. Morishige M. 4. Kimoto Y. 22. Endo K. 37. Koizumi K. 8. Ko T. 7. Anzai S. 10. Higashi K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 16. Sato K.
Substitutes
5. Appiah Tawiah H. 3. Asada S. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 18. Matsuda T. 48. Nakano R. 29. Okugawa M. 4. Patrick William 44. Sato K. 16. Takeda S.
18. Hashimoto K. 47. Kimura S. 5. Nagatomo Y. 39. Nakagawa T. 28. Nozawa L. 41. Nozawa T. (G) 30. Oka T. 99. Shirai K. 27. Tokiwa K.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae
Matsuhashi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Higashi K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Kawasaki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Hiraga S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
66', Yonemoto T. ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
66', Murilo de Souza ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Takeda S. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
72', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
72', Anzai S. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Okugawa M. ⚽, Kawasaki S. (A),
78', Koizumi K. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
78', Higashi K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
85', Nagasawa S. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
85', Fukuoka S. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
87', Kimoto Y. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun
(Inactive)
Hirato T.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Hara T.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).