The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 54.1%
Draw 25.6%
Oita Trinita 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
24.7%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
23.9%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.
Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
Kyoto Sanga - Oita Trinita Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oita Trinita: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Ota G. (G) 17. Anzai Y. 10. Fukuoka S. 31. Hiraga S. 19. Kaneko D. 7. Kawasaki S. (C) 20. Kita K. 96. Lucas Oliveira 4. Matsuda K. 77. Murilo 44. Sato K.
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 3. Derlan 17. Haneda K. 13. Isa K. 20. Kimoto T. 19. Kozakai A. 36. Matsuoka H. 27. Matsuo Y. 16. Shige T. 29. Utsumoto S. 6. Yumiba M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Fukuda S. 14. Hara T. 39. Hirato T. 88. Kakoi K. (G) 9. Marco Tulio 24. Miyamoto Y. 99. Rafael Elias
25. Ando T. 52. Hirano R. (G) 14. Ikeda R. 2. Kagawa Y. 18. Nodake J. 35. Sato J. 15. Yashiki Y.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae
Katanosaka T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Kozakai A. 🟨,
28', Derlan (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Haneda K. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Matsuda K. ⚽, Murilo (A),
65', Fukuoka S. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
69', Murilo ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
69', Anzai Y. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
70', Yumiba M. ↓, Ikeda R. ↑,
70', Isa K. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
71', Kaneko D. 🟨,
78', Shige T. 🟥,
79', Derlan ↓, Kagawa Y. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Kawasaki S. ⚽,
83', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
83', Kawasaki S. ↓, Miyamoto Y. ↑,
84', Matsuda K. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Kyoto is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Watch
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Ota G. (G) 
Lucas Oliveira 
Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 
