Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 31

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Machida Zelvia		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.49	4.27	5.91	Watch
	1.52	4.5	6.35
	1.53	4.37	5.98	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.52	4.43	6.09	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	4.35 ↑ (4.07)	6.01 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
62.7%

Draw
21.6%

Consadole Sapporo
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 26. Hayashi K. 5. Dresevic I. 3. Shoji G. 25. Sugioka D. 10. Na Sang-Ho 23. Shirasaki R. 18. Shimoda H. 22. Fujimoto K. 30. Nakashima Y. 90. Oh Se-Hun	1. Sugeno T. (G) 88. Baba S. 50. Okamura D. 3. Park Min-Gyu 10. Miyazawa H. 33. Kondo T. 14. Komai Y. 11. Aoki R. 6. Nakamura T. 7. Suzuki M. 19. Sarachat S.
Substitutes
15. Duke M. 11. Erik 9. Fujio S. 42. Fukui K. (G) 33. Mochizuki H. 8. Sento K. 7. Soma Y.	20. Bakayoko A. 8. Fukai K. 99. Kobayashi Y. 17. Kodama J. (G) 9. Sanchez J. 4. Suga D. 30. Tanaka H.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakashima Y. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
51', Miyazawa H. ↓, Fukai K. ↑,
67', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
67', Fujimoto K. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
77', Suzuki M. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
77', Baba S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
80', Sanchez J. 🟨,
82', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Erik ↑,
87', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
88', Sugeno T. ↓, Kodama J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
14.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	0:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia	5:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.08.24	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTT
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
14.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
04.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	6:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
16.03.24	Consadole Sapporo - Machida Zelvia	1:2
Japan J2 League
26.09.16	Consadole Sapporo - Machida Zelvia	3:2
03.04.16	Machida Zelvia - Consadole Sapporo	2:0

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