Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 7
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 5
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Peru	14:00	Disney+, Fox Sports 3
Philippines	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus


	Copenhagen		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8
	4.45	3.7	1.85
	4.76	3.7	1.82
	4.61	2.52	2.23	Watch
	4.61	3.69	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.72)	3.44 ↓ (3.63)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
21.1%

Draw
28.1%

Borussia Dortmund
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.3%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.3%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.7%	6.7%	91.6%

Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.75 - Borussia D (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Borussia D (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Copenhagen (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (109 of 119 users predict this - 91.6%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.62% – 96.58%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (44 of 48 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 52 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 3 - 5.8%). Borussia D (votes: 47 - 90.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kotarski D. (G) 20. Suzuki J. 5. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatzidiakos P. 24. Meling B. 11. Larsson J. 12. Lerager L. 36. Clem W. 30. Achouri E. 9. Moukoko Y. 7. Claesson V. (C)	1. Kobel G. (G) 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 5. Bensebaini R. 2. Couto Y. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 10. Brandt J. (C) 9. Guirassy S. 14. Beier M.
Substitutes
61. Buur O. (G) 39. Dadason V. 4. Garananga M. 15. Lopez M. 21. Madsen M. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 23. Sarapata D. 22. Zague Y.	27. Adeyemi K. 28. Anselmino A. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 13. Gross P. 33. Meyer A. (G) 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 25. Sule N.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Nmecha F. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Anton W. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', Lerager L. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Bensebaini R. (Pen),
62', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
62', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
62', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
63', Meling B. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
68', Neestrup J. 🟨,
75', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
75', Larsson J. ↓, Dadason V. ↑,
75', Hatzidiakos P. ↓, Garananga M. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Nmecha F. ⚽, Chukwuemeka C. (A),
77', Nmecha F. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
81', Clem W. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
81', Achouri E. ↓, Madsen M. ↑,
85', Bensebaini R. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
87', 1 - 4, Silva F. ⚽,
89', Zague Y. 🟨,
90', 2 - 4, Dadason V. ⚽, Suzuki J. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Copenhagen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia D is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Copenhagen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Copenhagen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Cornelius A. (Injury) Delaney T. (Injury) Elyounoussi M. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery) Huescas R. (Knee Injury) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury) Robert (Injury) West L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Drewes P. (Inactive) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Ozcan S. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Copenhagen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
17.10.25	Silkeborg IF - Copenhagen	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
27.09.25	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Mainz - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
06.09.22	Borussia Dortmund - Copenhagen	3:0

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