Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
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Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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World	VIX App


	Copenhagen		Napoli

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	2
	3.85	3.45	2.05
	4.09	3.8	1.87
	4.07	3.41	2.03	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.91
	4.12	3.51	2.05
	4	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.05)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
24.1%

Draw
27.7%

Napoli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.7%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	21.7%	63%

Copenhagen - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). Napoli will win (votes: 29 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 49% – 77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Napoli (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Napoli (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Copenhagen (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Napoli (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Napoli (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Napoli (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kotarski D. (G) 24. Meling B. 5. Gabriel Pereira 20. Suzuki J. 15. Lopez M. 10. Elyounoussi M. 21. Madsen M. 27. Delaney T. (C) 30. Achouri E. 39. Dadason V. 14. Cornelius A.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 4. Buongiorno A. 5. Juan Jesus 37. Spinazzola L. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 3. Gutierrez M. 26. Vergara A. 20. Elmas E. 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
42. Ankamafio G. 61. Buur O. (G) 7. Claesson V. 36. Clem W. 4. Garananga M. 6. Hatzidiakos P. 38. Hojer O. 11. Larsson J. 9. Moukoko Y. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 23. Sarapata D.	69. Ambrosino G. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 52. De Chiara E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 70. Lang N. 27. Lucca L. 9. Lukaku R. 17. Olivera M. 58. Prisco V.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Delaney T. 🟥,
36', Dadason V. ↓, Hatzidiakos P. ↑,
39', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Elmas E. (A),
40', Hojlund R. 🟨,
42', Elyounoussi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Vergara A. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
63', Spinazzola L. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
63', Achouri E. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
63', Cornelius A. ↓, Clem W. ↑,
71', Larsson J. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 1 - 1, Larsson J. ⚽,
75', Gutierrez M. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
80', Elmas E. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
81', Madsen M. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
81', Meling B. ↓, Garananga M. ↑,
82', Di Lorenzo G. 🟨,
90+7', Clem W. 🟨,

Preview

Copenhagen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Napoli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Huescas R. (Knee Injury) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury) Myrie K. (Inactive) West L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Napoli: De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Marianucci L. (Inactive) Mazzocchi P. (Inactive) Meret A. (Shoulder Injury) Politano M. (Muscle Injury) Rrahmani A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) David Neres (Ankle Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Napoli: 1.34%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Sturm Graz - Copenhagen	4:2 ✺
10.01.26	Brann - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
13.12.25	Copenhagen - Esbjerg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Villarreal - Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
07.12.25	Copenhagen - SønderjyskE	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWWL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Napoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTTW

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