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Napoli - Parma

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 16
  • Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Napoli Parma
    Napoli Parma
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.33 5 9.5 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 1.34 4.95 9.8 Watch and Bet Watch
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    Williamhill 1.3 4.8 9.5
    BetNow 1.36 5.38 10.9
    Bovada 1.33 5.33 9
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33
    (1.33)    		 5.13
    (5.13)    		 9.86 ↑
    (9.76)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Napoli
    71.7%    		Draw
    18.6%    		Parma
    9.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    71.7% 18.6% 9.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    74.1% 17% 8.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • The chances for Napoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    82.9% 12.2% 4.9%

    Napoli - Parma Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Napoli (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% โ€“ 94.28%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Preview

  • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
  • Napoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Parma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 2).
  • In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.
  • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Juan Jesus (Yellow Cards) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Shoulder Injury)
  • There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Guaita V. (Shoulder Injury) Lovik M. (Muscle Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
  • There are questionable in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury)
  • We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.7:0.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Napoli942317:11614
    19Parma91265:15-105

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Napoli: 1.41% Parma: 0.04%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SSC Napoli
    Italian Serie A
    11.01.26 Inter Milan - Napoli 2:2 ✺
    07.01.26 Napoli - Verona 2:2 ✺
    04.01.26 Lazio - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    28.12.25 Cremonese - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    Italian Super Cup
    22.12.25 Napoli - Bologna 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12
    TTWWW
    - FC Parma
    Italian Serie A
    11.01.26 Lecce - Parma 1:2 ✺
    07.01.26 Parma - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    03.01.26 Sassuolo - Parma 1:1 ✺
    27.12.25 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    13.12.25 Parma - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2
    WLTWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    18.05.25 Parma - Napoli 0:0
    31.08.24 Napoli - Parma 2:1
    31.01.21 Napoli - Parma 2:0
    20.09.20 Parma - Napoli 0:2
    22.07.20 Parma - Napoli 2:1
    14.12.19 Napoli - Parma 1:2
    24.02.19 Parma - Napoli 0:4
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SSC Napoli
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Porto - Napoli ✺
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Juventus - Napoli ✺
    - FC Parma
    Italian Serie A
    02.11.26 Atalanta - Parma ✺

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