Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Napoli		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9.5	Watch
	1.34	4.95	9.8	Watch
	1.34	5.29	10.46	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9.5
	1.36	5.38	10.9
	1.33	5.33	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	5.13 (5.13)	9.86 ↑ (9.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
71.7%

Draw
18.6%

Parma
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

18.6%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Napoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	12.2%	4.9%

Napoli - Parma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Napoli (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.

Napoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Parma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Juan Jesus (Yellow Cards) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Guaita V. (Shoulder Injury) Lovik M. (Muscle Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.77% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Cremonese - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWWW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Lecce - Parma	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Parma - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.05.25	Parma - Napoli	0:0
31.08.24	Napoli - Parma	2:1
31.01.21	Napoli - Parma	2:0
20.09.20	Parma - Napoli	0:2
22.07.20	Parma - Napoli	2:1
14.12.19	Napoli - Parma	1:2
24.02.19	Parma - Napoli	0:4

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