The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coquimbo Unido 61.4%
Draw 23.6%
San Marcos de Arica 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
19.5%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
16.9%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coquimbo Unido's form might have worsened.
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Coquimbo Unido - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flores G. (G) 26. Soza L. 4. Hernandez E. 19. Arancibia J. 28. Cabrera S. (C) 23. Zepeda M. 29. Pons F. 36. Rojas J. 14. Cordero S. 18. Rodriguez P. 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A.
1. Saracho R. (G) 2. Campos R. 34. Barboza A. 28. Rivera N. 17. Moya Godoy M. 18. Galleguillos A. 21. Orrego N. 4. Iturra M. (C) 24. Pereira D. 7. Monroy B. 11. Zedan N.
Substitutes
11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 30. Chandia B. 3. Fernandez M. 31. Pereira D. 12. Pratto L. 27. Riveros L. 34. Rojas P. 13. Sanchez D. (G) 10. Vadala G.
39. Gallegos 31. Larrondo D. 27. Orrego I. 36. Ramirez 37. Rosales 32. Tudor M. 38. Vallejos
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽,
30', Moya Godoy M. 🟨,
43', Soza L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
48', Barboza A. 🟨,
56', Rojas J. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
61', Galleguillos A. ↓, Tudor M. ↑,
62', Pons F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
62', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
72', Orrego N. ↓, Rosales A. ↑,
88', Pratto L. 🟨,
89', Pereira D. ↓, Orrego I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 3.
Recent performances by Coquimbo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Marcos de Arica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
San Marcos de Arica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Coquimbo has had a series of away games.
Recently, San Marcos de Arica has had a series of home games.
In this match, Coquimbo is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
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Flores G. (G) 
Hernandez E. 
Barboza A. 
Zedan N. 
Riveros L. 
Gallegos 
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