The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 21.5%
Draw 26.1%
Coquimbo Unido 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
26%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
25%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
San Marcos de Arica - Coquimbo Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saracho R. (G) 2. Campos R. 23. Cazula A. 28. Rivera N. 17. Moya Godoy M. 19. Maidana A. 8. Barrios A. (C) 4. Iturra M. 24. Pereira D. 7. Monroy B. 33. Benavides E.
1. Flores G. (G) 5. Escobar D. 4. Hernandez E. 19. Arancibia J. 28. Cabrera S. (C) 8. Camargo A. 14. Cordero S. 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 18. Rodriguez P. 35. Alfaro G. 12. Pratto L.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 15. Cubillos G. 22. Donadell N. 18. Galleguillos A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 30. Munoz J. (G) 21. Orrego N. 32. Tudor M. 11. Zedan N.
24. Alvarado M. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 33. Chavez D. 21. Dorador C. (G) 32. Julio N. 27. Riveros L. 36. Rojas J. 26. Soza L. 23. Zepeda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Benavides E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benavides E. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
46', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
46', Alfaro G. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
53', Arancibia J. 🟨,
57', Cazula A. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
64', Maidana A. ↓, Melivilu Fuentes C. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Riveros L. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
70', Rodriguez P. ↓, Zepeda M. ↑,
75', Escobar D. ↓, Soza L. ↑,
81', Monroy B. ↓, Tudor M. ↑,
81', Iturra M. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
84', Pratto L. ↓, Alvarado M. ↑,
87', Zepeda M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0.
San Marcos de Arica is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Coquimbo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Coquimbo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Coquimbo is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).