Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	5
	1.77	3	4.5
	1.78	3.05	4.7
	1.81	3.07	5.15
	1.93	3.05	4.15
	1.82	3.16	4.63
	1.78	3.05	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.21)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	4.69 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
50.7%

Draw
29.8%

Atlético Paso
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coria's performance.

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Paso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Paso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coria - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Telles L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, Moreno R. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Chavales J. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Atlético Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Coria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Coria - Elche	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Getafe B - Coria	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Coria - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Atlético Paso - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Conquense - Atlético Paso	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Paso - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.04.23	Coria - Atlético Paso	0:0
04.12.22	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:2

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