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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 56.3%
Draw 27.3%
Ceará 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
28.7%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
27.6%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Corinthians - Ceará Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.25 - Corinthians (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Felipe Longo (G) 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 2. Matheuzinho 27. Breno Bidon 7. Maycon (C) 61. Dieguinho 8. Garro R. 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Depay M.
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 44. Marcos Victor 23. Willian Machado (C) 2. Ramos R. 20. Diego 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 79. Matheus Bahia 10. Lucas Mugni 27. Galeano A. 7. Pedro Henrique
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero 26. Angileri F. 54. Bahia 25. Caca 56. Gui Negao 46. Hugo 47. Joao Pedro 51. Kaue (G) 31. Kayke 37. Ryan 43. Talles Magno 3. Torres F.
11. Aylon 33. Eder 77. Fernandinho 97. Lourenco 31. Lucas Lima 99. Lucca 3. Marllon 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 17. Paulo Baya 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson
Coaches
Dorival Junior
Leo Conde
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
38', Fabiano 🟨,
45+5', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
63', Diego 🟨,
67', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
71', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
71', Breno Bidon ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
75', Galeano A. ↓, Richardson ↑,
75', Diego ↓, Lourenco ↑,
75', Lucas Mugni ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
75', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑,
82', Willian Machado 🟨,
83', Matheus Bidu ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
90+4', Ramos R. 🟨,
90+6', Lourenco 🟨,
90+7', Garro R. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ceará is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Injury)
Carrillo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Charles Rigon
(Red Card)
Hugo Souza
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Red Card)
Vitinho
(Injury)
There will not play in Ceará: Vina
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Raniele
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ceará: Fernando Sobral
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
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Felipe Longo (G) 
Garro R. 
Depay M. 
Ramos R. 
Galeano A. 
Torres F. 
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