Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 27

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Coritiba		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.33	3.31	3.41
	2.2	3.22	3.32	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.23	3.18	3.31	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.28 ↑ (2.98)	3.22 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
42.2%

Draw
28.6%

Ceará
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

33.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Coritiba - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Pedro Morisco (G) 16. Natanael 5. Mauricio Antonio 4. Benevenuto 6. Rodrigo Gelado 8. Ze Gabriel 19. Gomez S. (C) 36. Vini Paulista 27. Josue 98. Lucas Ronier 9. Junior Brumado	1. Richard (G) 6. Ramos R. 42. Matheus Felipe 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 8. De Lucca 26. Richardson (C) 10. Lucas Mugni 73. Saulo Mineiro 11. Aylon 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 7. Castillo E. 77. Eberth 40. Everton Morelli 22. Figueiredo 83. Jamerson 43. Jhonny 18. Matheus Bianqui 10. Matheus Frizzo 30. Robson 14. Thalisson 57. Wesley Pomba	31. Barcelo F. 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 7. Castro F. 14. Eric 5. Jean Irmer 3. Joao Pedro 77. Lucas Rian 18. Rafinha 2. Rai Ramos 40. Ramon Menezes 28. Recalde J. 70. Talisson
Coaches
Jorginho	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Richard ↓, Bruno Ferreira ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Vini Paulista ↓, Robson ↑,
52', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
54', Saulo Mineiro 🟨,
59', Richardson 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Robson ⚽,
64', Aylon ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
64', Lucas Mugni ↓, Rafinha ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Junior Brumado ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
67', Josue ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
73', Benevenuto ↓, Thalisson ↑,
73', Ze Gabriel ↓, Everton Morelli ↑,
74', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
77', Rodrigo Gelado ↓, Jamerson ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Barcelo F. ⚽, Richardson (A),
83', 3 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Junior Brumado (A),
85', Ramos R. ↓, Rai Ramos ↑,
85', Richardson ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
89', Rafinha 🟨,
90+2', Recalde J. 🟨,
90+6', Gomez S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent matches Coritiba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coritiba will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
03.09.24	Guarani - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Coritiba - Avaí	1:0 ✺
22.08.24	Sport Recife - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.24	Chapecoense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Amazonas - Ceará	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	CRB Maceio - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.05.24	Ceará - Coritiba	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
28.09.22	Coritiba - Ceará	1:0
04.06.22	Ceará - Coritiba	1:1
20.02.21	Coritiba - Ceará	0:2
24.10.20	Ceará - Coritiba	2:1

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