Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)


	Coritiba		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	4
	1.86	3.3	4.25
	1.95	3.25	3.85
	1.96	3.44	4.27
	1.95	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.48	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	4.04 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
48.5%

Draw
28.2%

Juventude
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.7%	13.3%	8%

Coritiba - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: Coritiba will win (59 of 75 users predict this - 78.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.4% – 87.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Coritiba has the most likely position - 17 (9.66%), has project points - 44, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Juventude has the most likely position - 20 (36.46%), has project points - 35, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 40, importance 43, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Coritiba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coritiba will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Coritiba: Andrey (Knee Injury) Marcao (Injury) Nathan Mendes (Red Card) Robinho (Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Marlon Adriano (Injury) Paulinho Moccelin (Injury) Paulo Miranda (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
03.07.22	Coritiba - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
24.06.22	Internacional RS - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
19.06.22	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
15.06.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Coritiba	4:2 ✺
12.06.22	Coritiba - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.22	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
26.06.22	São Paulo - Juventude	0:0 ✺
19.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	3:1 ✺
14.06.22	Juventude - Santos	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Corinthians - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.10.18	Coritiba - Juventude	2:1
11.06.18	Juventude - Coritiba	1:1
Copa do Brasil
19.05.16	Coritiba - Juventude	2:2
11.05.16	Juventude - Coritiba	1:0

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