The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Goiás 59.3%
Draw 23%
Náutico Capibaribe 17.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.9%
28.9%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
27.8%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiás's performance.
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiás that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Goiás - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 54. Djalma Silva 4. Ramon Menezes 14. Lucas Ribeiro 6. Nicolas 5. Filipe Machado 10. Lucas Lima 97. Lourenco 35. Luquinhas 18. Cadu 11. Felipe Clemente
55. Guruceaga G. (G) 93. Reginaldo 3. Betao 23. Igor Fernandes 6. Ryan Carlos 27. Luiz Felipe 8. Wenderson 72. Derek 7. Vinicius (C) 24. Borasi B. 9. Paulo Sergio
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 66. Danilo Cunha 12. Ezequiel (G) 28. Gege 77. Halerrandrio 21. Jean Carlos 8. Juninho 40. Kadu 25. Luisao 2. Rodrigo Soares 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 27. Wellington Rato
2. Arnaldo 5. Auremir 29. Junior Todinho 19. Kaua Maranhao 32. Leo (G) 16. Luiz Claudio 60. Luiz Paulo 22. Nunez P. 41. Samuel Felix 11. Victor Andrade 34. Wanderson
Coaches
Mozart
Bruno Pivetti
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Paulo Sergio ↓, Kaua Maranhao ↑,
57', Derek ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
59', Lourenco ↓, Kadu ↑,
59', Nicolas ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
70', Cadu ↓, Gege ↑,
71', Borasi B. ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
76', Luquinhas ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
77', Lucas Lima ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
80', Luiz Felipe ↓, Samuel Felix ↑,
80', Wenderson ↓, Auremir ↑,
83', Filipe Machado 🟨,
90+4', Felipe Clemente 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 3.
In recent outings, Goiás has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Náutico has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Goiás carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Goiás: Kadu
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Náutico: Danielzinho
(Inactive)
Jean Carlos
(Yellow Cards)
Mateus Silva
(Inactive)
Matheus Ribeiro
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Goiás: Marcos Vinicius
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Goiás has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:10 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Goiás against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Goias
35
15
7
13
36:40
-4
52
15
Nautico
35
11
10
14
39:46
-7
43
Last Results with these Odds
Goiás - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.87%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Tadeu (C) 
Guruceaga G. (G) 
Borasi B. 
