Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Marte R. Gómez (Ciudad Victoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Correcaminos UAT		Irapuato

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.4	2.18
	3.15	3.52	2.28
	2.97	3.86	2.14	Watch
	3	3.25	2.1
	3	3.7	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	3.55 ↓ (3.99)	2.17 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT
30.9%

Draw
26.2%

Irapuato
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

23.4%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Resendez E. (G) 19. Catalan A. 22. Di Pippa A. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 13. Moreno G. (C) 2. Ortega W. 4. Pinuelas J. 32. Sandoval T. 14. Sosa C. 25. Torres E. 11. Uribe H.	20. Hernandez H. (C) 6. del Angel E. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 27. Martinez G. 11. Partida E. 31. Pena R. 24. Rodriguez A. 34. Ruiz J. 16. Sandoval R. 9. Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
Substitutes
104. Arce R. 1. Castellanos R. (G) 9. Delgadillo Y. 20. Estopier J. 23. Galindo J. 28. Lopez M. 6. Martinez J. 33. Mina D. 29. Pineda D. 3. Rubio R.	3. Alvarado V. 8. Cruz C. 2. Doldan J. 33. Gonzalez R. 29. Gutierrez L. 1. Magana G. (G) 10. Rangel J. 36. Salazar J. 25. Sanchez B. 26. Santillan E.
Coaches
Diaz G.	Alcantar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Sandoval T. ⚽, Ortega W. (A),
8', Sandoval T. 🟨,
29', Pinuelas J. ↓, Galindo J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', del Angel E. ↓, Cruz C. ↑,
46', Partida E. ↓, Rangel J. ↑,
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
49', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. (Penalty Awarded),
50', Sosa C. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Salazar J. ⚽, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. (A),
61', Uribe H. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
61', Sandoval T. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
70', Mina D. 🟨,
77', Pena R. 🟨,
78', Torres E. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
80', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
83', Rodriguez A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
83', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
87', Rangel J. 🟨,
90+2', Hernandez H. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Delgadillo Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Irapuato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Irapuato will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Correcaminos	11	4	4	3	19:18	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Irapuato - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.32%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.03.26	Venados - Correcaminos UAT	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTTLW
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.03.26	Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	6:2 ✺
25.02.26	Irapuato - Atlante	0:5 ✺
20.02.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Irapuato - Dorados	5:0 ✺
07.02.26	Jaiba Brava - Irapuato	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.10.25	Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT	4:1
06.03.15	Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato	3:0
20.09.14	Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT	0:1
08.02.13	Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato	3:1
25.08.12	Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT	1:0

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