Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Marte R. Gómez (Ciudad Victoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Correcaminos UAT		Mineros de Zacatecas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.90	3.69	1.80	Watch
	3.87	3.7	1.81	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (3.9)	3.65 ↓ (3.69)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT
23.9%

Draw
25.1%

Mineros de Zacatecas
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Correcaminos UAT - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Chavez L. (G) 88. Aguilar A. 106. Aguilar S. 104. Arce R. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 11. Espinosa Y. 20. Estopier J. 28. Lopez M. 13. Moreno G. 91. Sarmiento M. 102. Valverde L.	1. Duran L. (G) 10. Avila J. (C) 23. Garcia A. 30. Jimenez J. 11. Lopez F. 4. Marmolejo D. 18. Mendoza A. 24. Padilla P. 13. Perez M. 6. Rios P. 15. Villacorta A.
Substitutes
1. Castellanos R. (G) 141. De La Torre A. 17. Garcia J. 10. Hernandez E. 93. Hernandez L. 94. Lopez E. 109. Macias A. 85. Rubli G. 19. Trevino S. 34. Velazquez H.	3. Barajas V. 17. De Los Rios S. 21. Espinosa B. 33. Gonzalez F. 16. Martinez J. 9. Razo L. 89. Rodriguez G. 8. Trejo E. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Urbina J.	Munoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Cisneros D. 🟨,
18', Rios P. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Padilla P. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Valverde L. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
60', Lopez F. 🟨,
64', Perez M. ↓, Razo L. ↑,
65', Aguilar A. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
66', Espinosa Y. ↓, Velazquez H. ↑,
69', Lopez M. ↓, Macias A. ↑,
69', Estopier J. ↓, De La Torre A. ↑,
75', Lopez F. ↓, De Los Rios S. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, De Los Rios S. ⚽, Avila J. (A),
89', Avila J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
89', Padilla P. ↓, Trejo E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 1.

Correcaminos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mineros de Zacatecas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mineros de Zacatecas is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.10.25	Cancún - Correcaminos UAT	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Correcaminos UAT - Dorados	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Correcaminos UAT - Venados	3:6 ✺
19.09.25	Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLT
- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.10.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlante	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3 ✺
15.10.25	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.03.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	2:1
26.09.24	Correcaminos UAT - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2
11.01.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	3:0
28.07.23	Correcaminos UAT - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:3
25.03.23	Correcaminos UAT - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
30.08.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	1:0
18.01.22	Correcaminos UAT - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:0

Upcoming Matches