Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Jaiba Brava		Mineros de Zacatecas

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.96	3.44	3.98
	1.95	3.34	3.97	Watch
	1.97	3.28	3.73	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
47.9%

Draw
27.8%

Mineros de Zacatecas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jaiba Brava: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz G. (G) 22. Clemente J. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 6. Garcia E. 29. Pedroza M. 21. Peralta J. 10. Soto O. 8. Torres E.	1. Duran L. (G) 10. Avila J. (C) 17. De Los Rios S. 23. Garcia A. 11. Lopez F. 14. Mazatan O. 18. Mendoza A. 31. Munoz J. 13. Perez M. 6. Rios P. 15. Villacorta A.
Substitutes
14. Corona N. 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gonzalez C. 33. Gonzalez R. 19. Martinez F. 26. Perez E. 25. Perez O. 4. Rios A. 20. Saldivar J. 17. Trevino J.	3. Barajas V. 21. Espinosa B. 33. Gonzalez F. 4. Marmolejo D. 16. Martinez J. 24. Padilla P. 9. Razo L. 89. Rodriguez G. 8. Trejo E. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Ruiz M.	Munoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, Avila J. (A),
29', Flores S. 🟨,
36', Clemente J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Soto O. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
46', Peralta J. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
61', Pedroza M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Perez E. ⚽, Clemente J. (A),
65', Lopez F. ↓, Barajas V. ↑,
65', Perez M. ↓, Razo L. ↑,
68', Mendoza A. 🟨,
69', De Los Rios S. 🟨,
72', De Los Rios S. ↓, Padilla P. ↑,
77', Escoboza A. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
78', Flores S. ↓, Saldivar J. ↑,
82', Munoz J. 🟨,
83', Razo L. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Razo L. ⚽, Mendoza A. (A),
89', Avila J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
89', Munoz J. ↓, Espinosa B. ↑,
90', Martinez J. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Perez E. ⚽, Perez O. (A),
90+11', Duran L. ↓, Valenzuela J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 3.

Jaiba Brava has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mineros de Zacatecas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mineros de Zacatecas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jaiba Brava will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.10.25	Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Dorados - Jaiba Brava	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Jaiba Brava - Cancún	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Correcaminos UAT - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW
- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.10.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	Venados - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:3 ✺
05.09.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cancún	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.05.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	0:0
04.05.25	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
14.02.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	3:1
30.08.24	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
23.03.22	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
23.11.21	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1
31.08.21	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	1:2

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