Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Coruxo		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.55
	1.65	3.47	5.17	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.64	3.34	5.24
	1.62	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	3.35 ↑ (3.21)	5.06 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
55%

Draw
27.1%

Atlético Astorga
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

29.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coruxo's performance.

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Coruxo - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coruxo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Lima J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

Coruxo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Astorga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Coruxo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coruxo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Coruxo - Burgos Promesas	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sarriana - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	0:2
09.01.16	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	3:1
22.08.15	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	2:3
07.03.15	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	3:1
19.10.14	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	1:1

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