Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Coruxo		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.98	3.05
	2.2	3.05	3.59
	2.27	3.14	3.10	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.53)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	3.25 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
41.7%

Draw
29.8%

Bergantiños
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coruxo's performance.

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coruxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coruxo - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
83', Gonzalez D. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 4.

In recent matches, Coruxo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bergantiños is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Bergantiños has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Coruxo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Coruxo - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Coruxo - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Langreo - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWLT
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Bergantiños - Estradense	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.01.25	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1
15.09.24	Coruxo - Bergantiños	2:1
07.05.23	Bergantiños - Coruxo	1:1
08.01.23	Coruxo - Bergantiños	3:0
16.04.22	Coruxo - Bergantiños	1:0
27.11.21	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:0
Club Friendly
16.08.21	Bergantiños - Coruxo	Canceled

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