Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Cova De Piedade		Porto B

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.3	2.4
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.65	3.05	2.55
	2.9	3.25	2.35
	3.03	3.4	2.44
	2.9	3.25	2.38
	2.76	3.4	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.45)	3.24 ↑ (3.12)	2.43 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
32.8%

Draw
28.8%

Porto B
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

20.5%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cova De Piedade's form might have worsened.

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cova De Piedade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cova De Piedade - Porto B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Recent matches Cova De Piedade is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cova De Piedade won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Cova De Piedade won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
29.12.20	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
13.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Moreirense	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Feirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLWT
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
30.12.20	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
21.12.20	Estoril Praia - Porto B	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Porto B - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Arouca - Porto B	2:3 ✺
07.11.20	Porto B - Mafra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.19	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	4:1
17.03.19	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	1:1
11.11.18	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	2:1
04.03.18	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	2:2
27.09.17	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	2:0
09.04.17	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	4:0
06.11.16	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	1:0

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