Match Info

Date: 21 December 2020, Monday


	Estoril Praia		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7
	1.45	3.9	6.5
	1.44	4	6.4
	1.48	4.2	6.2
	1.53	4.2	6.79
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.47	4.2	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.12 ↑ (3.68)	6.61 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
63.3%

Draw
22.6%

Porto B
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20.9%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estoril Praia's performance.

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.7%	2.8%	15.6%

Estoril Praia - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (89 of 109 users predict this - 81.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.38% – 88.92%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga and 15).

Estoril is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Portuguese League Cup
17.12.20	Braga - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1 ✺
09.12.20	Estoril Praia - Lusitano GC	5:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Vilafranquense - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWT
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Porto B - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Arouca - Porto B	2:3 ✺
07.11.20	Porto B - Mafra	1:2 ✺
31.10.20	Covilhã - Porto B	4:0 ✺
24.10.20	Porto B - Chaves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.20	Porto B - Estoril Praia	1:1
14.09.19	Estoril Praia - Porto B	2:1
19.01.19	Porto B - Estoril Praia	2:0
11.08.18	Estoril Praia - Porto B	4:0

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