Match Info

SCOTLAND: Scottish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)


	Livingston		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.46	4.1	5.75
	1.49	4	5.6
	1.45	4.34	6.26
	1.48	4.41	6.09	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.45	6.24
	1.49	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	4.19 ↑ (4.19)	5.94 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
62.6%

Draw
21.9%

Cove Rangers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Livingston - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 19. Finlayson D. 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 12. Brandon J. (C) 25. Tait M. 6. McAlear R. 23. Muirhead R. 17. May S. 26. Montano C.	1. Suman N. (G) 18. Lobban D. 15. Darge A. 3. Doyle M. 7. Harrington R. 17. Marshall F. 8. Yule B. 4. Scully C. 10. Glass D. 9. Megginson M. 24. Fyvie F. (C)
Substitutes
3. Clarke M. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 21. Nottingham M. 8. Pittman S. 22. Shinnie A. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M. 9. Yengi T.	21. Demus B. (G) 20. Gaffney M. 6. Gillingham W. 11. McGrath G. 2. Murray F. 32. Parker L.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Hartley P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, McGowan R. ⚽, McAlear R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', McAlear R. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
56', Montano C. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
64', Brandon J. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
64', Fraser R. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,
78', Glass D. ↓, Gillingham W. ↑,
78', Scully C. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
78', Marshall F. ↓, Parker L. ↑,
79', May S. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Yengi T. ⚽, Wilson D. (A),
83', 3 - 0, Yengi T. ⚽, Smith L. (A),
84', Megginson M. ↓, McGrath G. ↑,
88', Fyvie F. 🟨,

Preview

Livingston in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cove is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Livingston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Livingston is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Livingston to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Livingston won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
31.01.25	Falkirk - Livingston	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Ross County - Livingston	2:3 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.25	Livingston - Airdrieonians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWWW
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
01.02.25	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Cove Rangers - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
23.07.24	Cove Rangers - Livingston	0:2
25.07.23	Cove Rangers - Livingston	0:5
16.07.22	Cove Rangers - Livingston	1:2

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