Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Inverness

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	1.85
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.2	3.25	1.9
	3.65	3.53	1.97	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.65	3.42	1.94	Watch
	3.2	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.81)	3.41 ↓ (3.67)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
26.4%

Draw
26.6%

Inverness
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Annan Athletic's form might have worsened.

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inverness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Annan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Annan Athletic - Inverness Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 14. Muir R. 33. Gibson W. 19. Maxwell C. 21. Stevenson J. 8. Todd J. 4. Dixon J. 16. Smith P. 7. McGowan P. 23. Ross L. 5. Muir T. (C)	21. Dibaga M. (G) 27. Nolan J. 5. Savage R. 6. Devine D. (C) 10. Bavidge A. 26. Allan P. 7. Gilmour C. 8. MacKinnon A. 22. Bray K. 9. McKay B. 11. Longstaff L.
Substitutes
22. Bell 11. Carmichael D. 12. Fleming G. (G) 18. Fleming K. 3. Quitongo R.	23. Cairns E. 12. Gardiner B. 15. MacKay C. 14. MacLeod C. 25. Rebilas S. (G) 24. Stewart A. 18. Thompson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', MacKinnon A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Bavidge A. ⚽, Longstaff L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Bray K. ⚽, Allan P. (A),
51', Muir R. ↓, Quitongo R. ↑,
62', Smith P. ↓, Fleming K. ↑,
68', Muir T. 🟨,
71', MacKinnon A. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
74', Stevenson J. 🟨,
77', Todd J. ↓, Carmichael D. ↑,
79', Longstaff L. ↓, MacLeod C. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, McKay B. (Pen),
88', McKay B. ↓, Thompson R. ↑,
88', Bavidge A. ↓, Cairns E. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to frozen pitch. Event will be played on 18.1. 16:00.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Inverness will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Annan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Queen of the South - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	1:5 ✺
07.12.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTLWT
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Inverness - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:4 ✺
21.12.24	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Montrose - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
19.10.24	Inverness - Annan Athletic	1:0
10.08.24	Annan Athletic - Inverness	1:0
Scottish League Cup
13.07.24	Annan Athletic - Inverness	1:0

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