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Nottingham Forest - Coventry City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 5
  • Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday
  • Location: City Ground (Nottingham)
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Nottingham Forest Coventry City
    Nottingham Forest Coventry City
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.64 ↓
    (1.8)    		 3.98 ↑
    (3.78)    		 5.52 ↑
    (4.38)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Nottingham Forest
    58.5%    		Draw
    24.1%    		Coventry City
    17.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    53% 25.2% 21.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    53.7% 24.9% 21.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.
  • Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    91.8% 6.1% 2%

    Nottingham Forest - Coventry City Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Nottingham (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Coventry (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • 1X2 - Nottm Forest (1.65) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.
  • Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (44 of 48 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 99.49%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 9 - 90%). Coventry (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    26. BelgiumSels M. (G)
    23. BrazilCunha
      2. IvoryDiomande O.
      5. BrazilMurillo
    27. ColombiaMunoz D.
    21. AustriaSchlager X.
    24. EnglandMcAtee J.
      3. WalesWilliams N.
    14. SwitzerlandNdoye D.
    10. EnglandGibbs-White M. (C)
    19. EnglandDelap L.
    		19. EnglandRushworth C. (G)
    12. EnglandMfuni S.
      4. EnglandThomas B.
      2. JamaicaPinnock E.
      8. GhanaYirenkyi C.
    16. NigeriaOnyeka F.
      6. EnglandGrimes M. (C)
      3. WalesDasilva J.
      5. EnglandRudoni J.
    10. JamaicaMason-Clark E.
    23. GhanaThomas-Asante B.
    Substitutes
    34. NigeriaAina O.
      8. ArgentinaDominguez N.
      7. EnglandHudson-Odoi C.
    11. BrazilIgor Jesus
    12. BrazilJohn Victor (G)
    25. GermanyNetz L.
      6. IvorySangare I.
      9. NewWood Ch.
    22. EnglandYates R.
    		25. EnglandBentley D. (G)
    49. FranceCherif S.
    34. FranceGboho Y.
    38. NetherlandsHamer G.
    22. JamaicaLatibeaudiere J.
      7. JapanSakamoto T.
      9. EnglandSimms E.
    17. FranceTchaouna L.
    29. DenmarkTorp V.
    Coaches
         AustriaGlasner O.
    		     EnglandLampard F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
    • 55', 0 - 1, Dasilva J. ⚽, Rushworth C. (A),
    • 59', Delap L. 🟨,
    • 59', Ndoye D. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
    • 73', Diomande O. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
    • 74', Rudoni J. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
    • 83', Munoz D. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
    • 83', McAtee J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
    • 90+1', Yirenkyi C. ↓, Latibeaudiere J. ↑,
    • 90+4', Netz L. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3.
  • Nottingham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Coventry is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Coventry may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
  • In this matchup, Nottingham is considered the favorite to take the win.
  • Confirmed absences for Nottingham: Milenkovic N. (Muscle Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Coventry: Amenda A. (Calf Injury) Awoniyi T. (Red Card) Eccles J. (Injury) Kesler-Hayden K. (Muscle Injury) Woolfenden L. (Knee Injury) Wright H. (Muscle Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Nottingham: Cunha (Muscle Injury).
  • In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Nottingham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Nottingham: 0.4% Coventry: 0.12%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    13Nottingham51224:5-15
    18Coventry51041:10-93

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League
    12.09.26 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺
    05.09.26 Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0 ✺
    29.08.26 Liverpool - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    English League Cup
    25.08.26 Nottingham Forest - Leeds United 0:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    22.08.26 Nottingham Forest - Leeds United 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3
    WTTLL
    - Coventry City
    English League Cup
    16.09.26 Coventry City - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺
    English Premier League
    13.09.26 Coventry City - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:5 ✺
    05.09.26 Manchester City - Coventry City 1:0 ✺
    29.08.26 Coventry City - Hull City 0:1 ✺
    English League Cup
    25.08.26 Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City 2:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7
    LLLLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Club Friendly
    08.07.22 Nottingham Forest - Coventry City 1:3
    English League Championship
    06.04.22 Nottingham Forest - Coventry City 2:0
    08.08.21 Coventry City - Nottingham Forest 2:1
    02.02.21 Coventry City - Nottingham Forest 1:2
    04.11.20 Nottingham Forest - Coventry City 2:1
    18.02.12 Nottingham Forest - Coventry City 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest ✺
    - Coventry City
    English Premier League
    12.10.26 Coventry City - Newcastle United ✺

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