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Sunderland - Leeds United

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Sunderland Leeds United
    Sunderland Leeds United
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3 3.1 2.55
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    betsson 2.95 3.1 2.55
    Bet_in_Asia 3.02 3.17 2.63
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    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.8)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.44)    		 2.58 ↑
    (2.54)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Sunderland
    32.4%    		Draw
    30.3%    		Leeds United
    37.2%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    34.3% 27.9% 37.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    34.2% 27.8% 37.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    12% 44% 44%

    Sunderland - Leeds United Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Leeds will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 24.5% โ€“ 63.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Sunderland (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.05) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • BTTS - yes (1.91) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 1 - 50%). Leeds (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    22. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G)
    32. NorthernHume T.
    20. FranceMukiele N.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L.
    17. MozambiqueMandava R.
    34. SwitzerlandXhaka G. (C)
    27. DRSadiki N.
    11. EnglandRigg C.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
    10. EcuadorAngulo N.
      9. NetherlandsBrobbey B.
    		  1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    24. EnglandJustin J.
    15. SloveniaBijol J.
      5. BosniaMuharemovic T.
      2. EnglandBogle J.
      4. WalesAmpadu E. (C)
    22. JapanTanaka A.
      3. SwedenGudmundsson G.
    10. WalesWilson H.
    11. USAAaronson B.
      9. EnglandCalvert-Lewin D.
    Substitutes
    29. DRAhoka J.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
    50. EcuadorAngulo J.
    19. SenegalDiarra H.
    31. SwedenEllborg M. (G)
    39. BelgiumFofana M.
      6. FranceMethalie D.
      7. MoroccoTalbi C.
    57. UkraineTuterov T.
    		23. FranceBahoya J.
    26. FranceBard M.
    50. EnglandCresswell A.
    44. BulgariaGruev I.
      8. EnglandLongstaff S.
    14. GermanyNmecha L.
    19. SwitzerlandOkafor N.
    18. GermanyStach A.
    16. GermanyZetterer M. (G)
    Coaches
         FranceLe Bris R.
    		     GermanyFarke D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 29', Ampadu E. 🟨,
    • 39', Mandava R. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 52', Mukiele N. ↓, Alderete O. ↑,
    • 65', Brobbey B. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
    • 66', Aaronson B. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
    • 66', Wilson H. ↓, Stach A. ↑,
    • 67', Bogle J. 🟨,
    • 79', Angulo N. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
    • 79', Le Fee E. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
    • 85', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
    • 89', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,

    Preview

  • A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Championship and 8th).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.
  • Sunderland is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Leeds has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Leeds could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
  • Recently, Sunderland has faced a series of away games on the road.
  • In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
  • Confirmed absences for Sunderland: Ballard D. (Muscle Injury) Danso K. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Knee Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Leeds: Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Rodon J. (Muscle Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Sunderland: Isidor W. (Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Leeds: Calvert-Lewin D. (Foot Injury) Okafor N. (Groin Injury) Stach A. (Groin Injury).
  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Sunderland against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Leeds82519:6311
    20Sunderland81256:14-85

    Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Leeds: 0.59% Sunderland: 0.12%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Sunderland - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

    Leeds United - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    22.10.26 Lech Poznaล„ - Sunderland 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    18.10.26 Bournemouth - Sunderland 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Torreense - Sunderland 1:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺
    20.09.26 Manchester City - Sunderland 5:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5
    TLWLL
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    18.10.26 Leeds United - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    10.10.26 Arsenal - Leeds United 2:1 ✺
    20.09.26 Leeds United - Crystal Palace 0:0 ✺
    14.09.26 Leeds United - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    English League Cup
    09.09.26 Chelsea - Leeds United 6:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8
    TLTWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Premier League Summer Series
    30.07.26 Sunderland - Leeds United 0:1
    English Premier League
    03.03.26 Leeds United - Sunderland 0:1
    28.12.25 Sunderland - Leeds United 1:1
    English League Championship
    17.02.25 Leeds United - Sunderland 2:1
    04.10.24 Sunderland - Leeds United 2:2
    09.04.24 Leeds United - Sunderland 0:0
    12.12.23 Sunderland - Leeds United 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Coventry City - Sunderland ✺
    English League Cup
    28.10.26 Sunderland - Brentford ✺
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Bournemouth - Leeds United ✺

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