Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		BSAD

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.63	3.1	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.49
	2.75	3.31	2.72
	2.6	3	2.55
	2.63	3.2	2.53
	2.65	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.43)	3.17 ↑ (3.07)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
34.6%

Draw
28.9%

BSAD
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Covilhã - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 20%). BSAD will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for BSAD: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Covilhã has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches BSAD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.22	Mafra - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Covilhã - Leixões	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Covilhã - Torreense	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BSAD
Taça de Portugal
10.11.22	BSAD - Machico	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.22	BSAD - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
30.10.22	Académico de Viseu - BSAD	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.04.13	Covilhã - BSAD	4:1

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