Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Covilhã		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.52
	5.5	3.75	1.52
	6.31	3.99	1.5
	6.31	3.99	1.5
	6.03	3.94	1.51
	5.6	3.75	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.83 ↓ (6.33)	3.86 ↓ (4.02)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
15.7%

Draw
23.7%

Felgueiras
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

23.1%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

22.5%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Covilhã - Felgueiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Joao Goncalo (G) 99. Benedict E. 3. Casagrande P. 9. Chico Cardoso 13. Michel 6. Moreira T. (C) 17. Opeyemi M. 80. Renato Luis 24. Tomas N. 21. Valente A. 10. Ze Tiago	24. Pinto B. (G) 77. Andrade D. 29. Banguera E. 30. Feliz 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 20. Moura M. (C) 11. Pereira M. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 90. Santos J. 34. Silva A.
Substitutes
88. Borges M. 87. Ferreira R. 82. Figueiredo B. 20. Gildo 19. Joao Vasco 30. Makaridze G. (G) 44. Monteiro I. 23. Pereira J. 7. Traquina	22. Bruninho 27. Ca L. 9. Carlos Eduardo 21. Cassio L. 14. Lemos I. M. 18. Pereira G. 28. Rosas P. 1. Sao Bento V. (G) 13. Takahashi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Opeyemi M. 🟨,
39', Pereira M. 🟨,
44', Michel 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Moura M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Opeyemi M. ↓, Gildo ↑,
46', Michel ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
46', Chico Cardoso ↓, Traquina ↑,
61', Andrade D. 🟨,
63', Feliz ↓, Bruninho ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Bruninho ⚽,
74', Pereira M. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
77', Valente A. ↓, Borges M. ↑,
80', Ktatau ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
81', Santos J. ↓, Rosas P. ↑,
85', Benedict E. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
88', Ca L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )).

Covilhã is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Felgueiras is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Felgueiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Felgueiras is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Varzim - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Covilhã - Alverca	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Covilhã - Braga B	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Lusitânia - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLT
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Varzim - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.24	Felgueiras - Covilhã	2:0

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