Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Motor Lublin		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.13	3.65	2.25
	3.07	3.65	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3.04	3.4	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	2.21 (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
31%

Draw
26.8%

Raków Częstochowa
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.1%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 42. Ede B. 3. Matthys H. 24. Luberecki F. 21. Labojko J. 30. Ndiaye M. 68. Wolski B. (C) 7. Rodrigues I. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 9. Czubak K.	48. Zych O. (G) 2. Mosor A. 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. (C) 35. Ilenic M. 23. Struski K. 5. Bulat M. 19. Ameyaw M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 18. Brunes J. 9. Makuch P.
Substitutes
77. Dadashov R. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 26. Krol M. 16. Lewandowski F. 2. Meyer P. 18. Najemski A. 8. Scalet M. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 19. van Hoeven B. 17. Wojcik F.	22. Abraham O. 39. Brusberg I. 44. Mircetic B. 21. Napieraj J. 8. Pienko T. 6. Repka O. 17. Rocha L. 20. Silva J. C. 29. Zolneczko W. (G)
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Struski K. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ameyaw M. ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
59', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
59', Ilenic M. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
59', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A),
74', Makuch P. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
75', Ede B. 🟨,
78', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
78', Ede B. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
78', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
85', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
90+1', Labojko J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Ndiaye M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Motor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Raków has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Motor: Bartos M. (Yellow Cards) Plichta K. (Injury) Samper S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Yellow Cards) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pienko T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Raków: Trelowski K. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Motor Lublin: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9:15	-6	6
18	Rakow	10	1	0	9	13:25	-12	3

Last Results with these Odds

Motor Lublin - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.26	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWTW
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Cup
09.04.26	Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	5:4 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.26	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
05.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:0
07.12.24	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:2
21.07.24	Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa	0:2
Polish Cup
01.03.23	Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa	0:3

Upcoming Matches