The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cracovia 53.8%
Draw 27.8%
Warta Poznań 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
28%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
26.1%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia's performance.
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.5%
26.1%
17.4%
Cracovia - Warta Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Warta will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 36.2% – 76.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 3. Skovgaard A. 22. Hoskonen A. 33. Bitri E. 25. Kakabadze O. 11. Maigaard M. 6. Atanasov J. 4. Jaroszynski P. 88. Sokolowski P. 9. Kallman B. 10. Rakoczy M. (C)
33. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Szymonowicz D. (C) 4. Stavropoulos D. 20. Mezghrani M. 16. Luis M. 6. Zurawski M. 47. Prikryl T. 7. Szmyt K. 29. Vizinger D. 77. Savic S.
Substitutes
17. Bochnak M. 50. Dziewicki F. 31. Hrosso L. (G) 20. Knap K. 7. Makuch P. 19. Olafsson D. 18. Oshima T. 2. Rapa C. 63. Rozga F.
28. Borowski F. 9. Eppel M. 3. Kielb J. 21. Kupczak M. 1. Lis A. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 22. Matuszewski K. 25. Paszkowski J. 14. Tiru B.
Coaches
Zielinski J.
Szulczek D.
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 0.
Cracovia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Warta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cracovia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Warta have a series of home games.
In this match Cracovia is a favorite.
There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Injury)
Jugas J.
(Injury)
Rasmussen M.
(Injury)
Smiglewski K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K.
(Injury)
Zrelak A.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Cracovia to win the game is with odds 1.78.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.