Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Zagłębie Lubin		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.4	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.6
	3	2.88	2.48	Watch
	3.23	2.98	2.59
	3.11	3.02	2.53	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	3.16	2.94	2.53	Watch
	2.38	2.89	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.38)	2.93 ↑ (2.89)	2.56 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
31.9%

Draw
31.7%

Cracovia
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cracovia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Zagłębie Lubin - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buric J. (G) 31. Orlikowski I. 4. Michalski D. 25. Nalepa M. 16. Corluka J. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 13. Grzybek M. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 44. Regula M. 9. Kosidis M.	13. Madejski S. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 79. Pila D. 43. Klich M. (C) 6. Al Ammari A. 39. Perkovic M. 14. Hasic A. 18. Zahiroleslam K. 10. Dominguez M.
Substitutes
12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 26. Kolan J. 7. Kowalczyk S. 84. Ligocki J. 6. Makowski T. 22. Matysek A. (G) 88. Mlinaric M. 19. Sypek J. 17. Szabo L. 94. Urbanski M. 11. Wozniak A.	29. Batoum J. 99. Charpentier G. 15. Glik K. 70. Kameri D. 20. Knap K. 17. Minchev M. 7. Praszelik M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 11. Sans P. 5. Selan B. 19. Tabisz M.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Grzelak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Traore B. 🟨,
16', Regula M. 🟨,
26', Orlikowski I. 🟥,
31', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Traore B. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
56', Al Ammari A. 🟨,
58', Dominguez M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
70', Regula M. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
70', Kosidis M. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
79', Al Ammari A. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
85', Zahiroleslam K. ↓, Charpentier G. ↑,
90', Dabrowski D. ↓, Mlinaric M. ↑,
90+4', Mlinaric M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0.

Zagłębie Lubin has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cracovia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zagłębie Lubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Lucic L. (Yellow Cards) Makowski T. (Injury) Radwanski A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cracovia: Kakabadze O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wojcik O. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Zaglebie: 1.65% Cracovia: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15
11	Cracovia	10	3	2	5	12:15	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cracovia - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ET ✺
07.04.26	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cracovia - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cracovia - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.25	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0
24.05.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Cracovia	1:2
29.11.24	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1
18.02.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Cracovia	1:1
Polish Cup
02.11.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1
13.05.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1

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