Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV


	Cracovia		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.05
	1.91	3.31	4.66
	1.92	3.41	4.3	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.88	3.22	4.33	Watch
	2.03	3.16	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)	4.11 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
48.6%

Draw
28.7%

Wisła Płock
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wisła Płock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	40%	6.7%

Cracovia - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Wisła Płock (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 50%). Wisła Płock (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 66. Wojcik O. 61. Traore B. 39. Perkovic M. 43. Klich M. (C) 6. Al Ammari A. 11. Sans P. 10. Dominguez M. 14. Hasic A. 17. Minchev M.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 21. Rogelj Z. 14. Kun D. 88. Savvidis K. 30. Nowak W. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 99. Juric D. 20. Sekulski L. (C)
Substitutes
29. Batoum J. 15. Glik K. 4. Henriksson G. 70. Kameri D. 20. Knap K. 79. Pila D. 7. Praszelik M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 5. Selan B. 19. Tabisz M. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	37. Bokhno M. 27. Borowski B. 26. Burek J. (G) 17. Djalo M. 19. Gallapeni D. 77. Hamulic S. 16. Hiszpanski F. 8. Pacheco D. 6. Pomorski K. 18. Sarapata D. 84. Tavares T.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Savvidis K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Sutalo B. (Own goal),
56', Savvidis K. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
58', Dominguez M. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
58', Minchev M. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Hasic A. ⚽,
61', Sekulski L. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Juric D. ⚽,
79', Perkovic M. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
80', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
85', Sans P. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
85', Sutalo B. ↓, Pila D. ↑,
90', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
90+1', Sekulski L. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.

Cracovia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła Płock has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cracovia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cracovia: Bogacz W. (Inactive) Charpentier G. (Inactive) Kakabadze O. (Injury)

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J. (Foot Injury) Salvador I. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Cracovia: 0.83% Wisla Plock: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cracovia	10	3	2	5	12:15	-3	11
12	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Widzew Łódź - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTTT
- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.26	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
02.03.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wisła Płock - Widzew Łódź	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
04.12.25	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	0:0
27.05.23	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	3:0
11.11.22	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	1:0
13.05.22	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	3:0
28.11.21	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	2:1
21.04.21	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	1:0
27.11.20	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	0:1

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