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Current Win Probability
Wycombe Wanderers 72.1%
Draw 16.9%
Crawley Town 11%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
22.5%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
22%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wycombe Wanderers's performance.
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wycombe Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
6.2%
0%
Wycombe Wanderers - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wycombe Wanderers will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. George S. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 6. Tafazolli R. 25. Skura D. 5. Hartridge A. 8. Butcher M. 7. Wheeler D. 20. Humphreys C. 10. Leahy L. 30. Lubala B. 18. Hanlan B.
31. Trueman C. (G) 17. Tanimu B. 5. Barker C. 20. Mukena J. 22. Adeyemo A. 4. Bragg C. 11. Roles J. 19. Kelly J. 27. Khaleel R. 15. Fish S. 29. Showunmi T.
Substitutes
22. Bishop N. (G) 24. Kone R. 28. Morley A. 44. Onyedinma F. 31. Pattenden J. 4. Scowen J. 11. Udoh D.
6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 7. Forster H. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 99. John-Jules T. 21. Sheik J. (G) 9. Swan W.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
Elliot R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hanlan B. ⚽, Wheeler D. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Showunmi T. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Leahy L. ⚽,
32', Hartridge A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Tanimu B. 🟨,
53', Leahy L. (Pen),
61', Lubala B. ↓, Udoh D. ↑,
61', Hanlan B. ↓, Kone R. ↑,
61', Wheeler D. ↓, Onyedinma F. ↑,
61', Tafazolli R. ↓, Scowen J. ↑,
62', Fish S. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
62', Khaleel R. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
67', Bragg C. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
77', Kelly J. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
77', Adeyemo A. ↓, Camara P. ↑,
81', Roles J. 🟨,
88', Scowen J. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 3.
Wycombe in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Crawley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Wycombe is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Wycombe to win the game is with odds 1.39.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.6:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).