The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 35.9%
Draw 26.3%
Mansfield Town 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
26.5%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
27.2%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Crawley Town - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 40% – 93.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 20. Mukena J. 28. Flint J. 18. Quitirna A. 26. Williams J. (C) 23. Ibrahim B. 7. Forster H. 22. Adeyemo A. 10. Darcy R. 9. Swan W.
1. Pym C. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 9. Bowery J. 6. Cargill B. 17. Baccus K. 8. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. (C) 3. McLaughlin S. 44. Boateng H. 19. Gregory L. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
6. Anderson M. 5. Barker C. 4. Bragg C. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 8. Holohan G. 19. Kelly J. 11. Roles J.
13. Flinders S. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 20. Nichols T. 15. Quinn B. 16. Quinn S. 21. Waine B. 2. Williams G.
Coaches
Gladwin B.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Gregory L. ⚽,
13', Evans W. 🟨,
22', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
29', Baccus K. 🟨,
36', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
36', Williams J. 🟨,
44', Lewis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adeyemo A. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
46', Gregory L. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
46', Cargill B. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
46', Baccus K. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
66', Ibrahim B. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
66', Swan W. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
66', Forster H. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
69', Darcy R. 🟨,
76', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
78', Evans W. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
86', Boateng H. ↓, Quinn S. ↑,
89', Roles J. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Waine B. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2.
Crawley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mansfield is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Mansfield have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Crawley won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:29 (average 1.2:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).
United-kingdom
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Wollacott J. (G) 
Mullarkey T. 
Quitirna A. 
Williams J. (C) 
Baccus K. 
Lewis A. 
McLaughlin S. 
Anderson M. 
Kelly J. 
Roles J. 
Waine B. 
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