Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.2
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	2.95	3.75	2.2
	3.31	3.89	2.08
	2.95	3.65	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2.15
	3.01	3.68	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	2.18 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
31.3%

Draw
25.5%

Barnsley
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.8%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Crawley Town - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 20. Mukena J. 28. Flint J. 12. Camara P. 26. Williams J. (C) 6. Anderson M. 4. Bragg C. 19. Kelly J. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 10. Darcy R.	1. Slonina G. (G) 2. Cotter B. 6. de Gevigney M. 5. Pines D. 32. Earl J. 15. Lofthouse K. 48. Connell L. (C) 8. Phillips A. 18. Craig M. 7. O'Keeffe C. 36. Watters M.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 5. Barker C. 16. Beach E. (G) 7. Forster H. 27. Khaleel R. 18. Quitirna A. 9. Swan W.	17. Gent G. 23. Killip B. (G) 19. Marsh A. 50. Nwakali K. 4. Roberts M. 3. Russell J. 45. Yoganathan V.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', Watters M. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
12', 0 - 1, Pines D. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
13', Pines D. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Phillips A. ⚽, Connell L. (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Phillips A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bragg C. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
46', Anderson M. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
65', Forster H. 🟨,
65', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
68', Lofthouse K. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
73', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
80', Pines D. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
84', Connell L. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Crawley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barnsley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barnsley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Cup
27.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crawley Town	4:0 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Crawley Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
17.08.24	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Crawley Town - Swindon Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW
- Barnsley FC
English League Cup
27.08.24	Barnsley - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Barnsley - Northampton Town	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Barnsley - Manchester United U21	2:3 ✺
English League One
17.08.24	Lincoln City - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.02.15	Crawley Town - Barnsley	5:1
09.08.14	Barnsley - Crawley Town	0:1

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