The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 19.6%
Draw 23.1%
Chesterfield 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
23.4%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
23%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Crawley Town - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannone V. (G) 24. Odimayo A. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Barker C. 12. Richards L. 22. Adeyemo A. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 30. Jennings K. 10. Duke-McKenna S. 27. Morgan D. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Hutton R. 5. McFadzean K. (C) 6. Simpson J. 19. Gordon L. 20. McEachran G. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 18. Marsh L. 31. Randall J. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
14. Di Biase G. 2. Gordon K. 17. Kamara O. 13. Michalski N. (G) 16. Russell J. 28. Tinsdale N. 8. Watson L.
27. Dyer K. 26. Eccleston J. 28. Grigg W. 37. Koroma J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 46. Pearce T.
Coaches
Kazim-Richards C.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Bonis L. ⚽, Gordon L. (A),
41', Odimayo A. ↓, Tinsdale N. ↑,
44', Jennings K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Marsh L. ⚽,
59', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑,
60', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Di Biase G. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Randall J. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
65', Koroma J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Di Biase G. ⚽, Morgan D. (A),
76', Richards L. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
76', Barker C. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
80', Marsh L. 🟨,
83', Di Biase G. 🟨,
86', Marsh L. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
87', Markanday D. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
87', McEachran G. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
90', Markanday D. 🟨,
90+4', Russell J. 🟨,
90+4', Gordon L. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 24th in the Relegation - National League and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Crawley (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chesterfield shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Chesterfield may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chesterfield has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Chesterfield is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Chesterfield: Hemming Z.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou R.
(Inactive).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Crawley has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crawley against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chesterfield
10
4
3
3
17:14
3
15
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Crawley Town - the odds 4.04 are the expected chance of winning is 22.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.