The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 34.9%
Draw 27.8%
Shrewsbury Town 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
27.6%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
26.9%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannone V. (G) 12. Richards L. 6. Farquharson P. 16. Russell J. 22. Adeyemo A. 28. Tinsdale N. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 30. Jennings K. 10. Duke-McKenna S. 27. Morgan D. 17. Kamara O.
1. Brook W. (G) 6. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. (C) 3. Ruffels J. 2. Hoole L. 10. Sang T. 21. Gray W. 11. Berkoe K. 18. McMahon-Brown K. 9. Lloyd G. 13. Davison J.
Substitutes
11. Aderoju O. 4. Arganese-McDermott P. 2. Gordon K. 13. Michalski N. (G) 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 19. Pereira D. 8. Watson L.
46. Aiston H. 20. Golding M. 32. Gregory C. (G) 17. Jude-Boyd A. 23. Lee I. 24. Sousa L. 30. Thompson-McKenzie J.
Coaches
Kazim-Richards C.
Cowan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Hoole L. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Adeyemo A. ⚽, Duke-McKenna S. (A),
37', Russell J. 🟨,
43', Davison J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
62', 1 - 1, Davison J. ⚽, Lloyd G. (A),
71', Tinsdale N. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
71', Richards L. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
79', Jennings K. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
79', Farquharson P. ↓, Arganese-McDermott P. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Lloyd G. ⚽,
84', Morgan D. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Morgan D. ⚽, Watson L. (A),
86', Kamara O. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Davison J. ⚽,
90+5', Lloyd G. 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 24th in the Relegation - National League and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Crawley (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Shrewsbury have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Shrewsbury has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Shrewsbury: Fletcher I.
(Red Card)
Price J.
(Inactive)
Turner-Cooke J.
(Red Card).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Crawley has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crawley against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Shrewsbury
13
5
3
5
16:20
-4
18
24
Crawley
11
1
3
7
12:21
-9
6
Outrights of English League Two for now
Shrewsbury: 2.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.