Match Info

League Two - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.64	4.2
	1.96	3.47	3.68	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.7
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	3.96 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
49.5%

Draw
26.9%

Shrewsbury Town
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

24.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Crawley Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Chapman J. (G) 22. Adeyemo A. 5. Barker C. 2. Malone S. 12. Richards L. 7. Forster H. 26. Williams J. (C) 30. Copley L. 27. Watson L. 13. McKirdy H. 38. Adeyemo T.	1. Cox M. (G) 23. Lee I. 5. Boyle W. 25. Ruffels J. 20. Kabia I. 43. Gray W. 14. Perry T. 30. Berkoe K. 19. Morgan I. 48. Ihionvien B. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
21. Loft R. 31. Odimayo A. 19. Pereira D. 32. Richards T. 16. Russell J. 34. Wollacott J. (G)	4. Anderson T. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 9. Lloyd G. 10. Sang T. 11. Scully A. 26. Stubbs S.
Coaches
Kazim-Richards C.	Cowan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Malone S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ihionvien B. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
70', Adeyemo T. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
71', Gray W. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
71', Marquis J. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
72', McKirdy H. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
75', Perry T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
76', Lee I. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
77', Richards L. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
77', Williams J. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
88', Sang T. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Crawley is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T. (Injury)

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G. (Inactive) Loft R. (Injury) Orsi-Dadomo D. (Inactive) Richards T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Sang T. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Shrewsbury: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11
24	Crawley	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Crawley Town - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.71 are the expected chance of winning is 24.97%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
11.04.26	Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Crawley Town - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Newport County - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Crawley Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
11.04.26	Shrewsbury Town - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Bromley - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Shrewsbury Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Newport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.10.25	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	1:0
English League One
03.05.25	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	1:2
12.10.24	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:5
11.03.14	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	1:1
14.09.13	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
01.04.13	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	3:0
08.12.12	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:2

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