Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Chatham Town		Southend United

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.4	2
	3.34	3.36	2.04
	3.38	3.59	2.02
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.47	3.42	2.05
	3.2	3.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (4.82)	3.37 ↓ (3.78)	2.03 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
27.4%

Draw
27.3%

Southend United
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.7%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chatham Town's performance.

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southend United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chatham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chatham Town - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chatham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Southend has had a series of away games.

In this match, Southend is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Chatham Town - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Chatham Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Chatham Town - Dartford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWL
- Southend United
English National League
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Boston United - Southend United	3:3 ✺
20.01.26	Southend United - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	York City - Southend United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Bath City - Southend United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWTW

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