The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 67.4%
Draw 18%
Aston Villa U21 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
22.3%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
21.5%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.
Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Crewe Alexandra - Aston Villa U21 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/E Goals, 2nd Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.25 - Aston Villa U21 (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crewe Alexandra will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Crewe (votes: 3 - 75%). Aston Villa U21 (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lawlor I. (G) 30. Dancey S. 6. Offord L. (C) 37. Graves T. 4. Ure K. 7. Lankester J. 20. Agius C. 19. Lunt O. 32. Moore L. 23. McNeill C. 29. Thibaut A.
42. Wright J. (G) 80. Burgess W. 71. Carroll T. 66. Routh L. (C) 70. Fortes R. 73. Jenner M. 63. Lynskey A. 77. Quinn K. 68. Mulley T. 88. Bindley O. 84. Meade M.
Substitutes
2. Billington L. 1. Booth T. (G) 38. Chadwick R. 36. Ewusi J. 14. Gibson J. 27. Mlynarski P. 34. Swann L.
87. Adediran D. 78. Bloomfield T. 76. Hayward V. 65. Lewis S. (G) 98. Melhuish L. 51. Moss L. 52. Mudame V.
Coaches
Bell L.
Shan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Lunt O. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Offord L. ⚽, Agius C. (A),
34', Lunt O. ↓, Mlynarski P. ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Thibaut A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Offord L. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Lankester J. ⚽, Dancey S. (A),
60', Thibaut A. ↓, Chadwick R. ↑,
60', Ure K. ↓, Ewusi J. ↑,
62', Routh L. 🟨,
63', Fortes R. ↓, Hayward V. ↑,
63', Routh L. ↓, Bloomfield T. ↑,
63', Carroll T. ↓, Mudame V. ↑,
63', Burgess W. ↓, Melhuish L. ↑,
64', Mulley T. ↓, Moss L. ↑,
65', Billington L. 🟨,
67', McNeill C. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Jenner M. ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, Lankester J. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
Preview
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Crewe may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Aston Villa U21 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Crewe as the clear and undisputed favorite.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Watch
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Lawlor I. (G) 
Dancey S. 
Offord L. (C) 
Ure K. 
Burgess W. 
Fortes R. 
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