The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 58.2%
Draw 22.7%
Crewe Alexandra 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
25.5%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
25.5%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crewe Alexandra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crewe Alexandra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
9.1%
27.3%
Lincoln City - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 43.5% โ 83.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Crewe is Relegated to League Two
Lincoln has the most likely position - 18 (63.82%), has project points - 51, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (100%), has project points - 30, has currently - 29, was already of relegated.
This event has small quality11, very small importance0, very small match rating5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
In this match Lincoln is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
Watch
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