The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Criciúma 45.3%
Draw 31.4%
Grêmio Novorizontino 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29.8%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
28.7%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 3. Rodrigo 4. Luciano Castan (C) 14. Benevenuto 6. Marcinho 76. Felipinho 18. Leo Naldi 10. Jhonata Robert 25. Guilherme Lobo 77. Diego Goncalves 9. Nicolas
1. Airton (G) 26. Dantas 3. Rafael Donato (C) 4. Patrick 40. Rai Ramos 5. Jean Irmer 47. Fabio Matheus 77. Mayk 30. Waguininho 25. Romulo 90. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
22. Bernardes Lopes A. (G) 19. Borasi B. 7. Fellipe Mateus 11. Gustavo Maia 20. Jean Carlos 21. Joao Carlos 50. Juninho 23. Leo Alaba 15. Leo Mana 99. Sassa 39. Thales 2. Yan Souto
16. Antony 93. Jordi (G) 19. Leo Tocantins 9. Lucca 10. Matheus Frizzo 99. Nathan Fogaca 88. Patrick Brey 2. Rodrigo Soares 22. Ruiz O. 15. Tavinho 8. Willian Farias
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista
Umberto Louzer
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Luciano Castan 🟨,
29', Rafael Donato 🟨,
30', Felipinho 🟨,
30', Waguininho 🟨,
45+2', Patrick 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Nicolas ⚽, Marcinho (A),
66', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
66', Diego Goncalves ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
67', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
67', Waguininho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
76', Romulo ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
78', Marcinho ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
78', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Borasi B. ⚽, Jean Carlos (A),
87', Caio Dantas ↓, Lucca ↑,
87', Patrick ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
87', Leo Alaba ↓, Leo Mana ↑,
88', Nicolas ↓, Thales ↑,
89', Rai Ramos ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
90', Jean Carlos 🟨,
90+6', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
Criciúma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Novorizontino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Criciúma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus
(Inactive)
Kaua Moroso
(Inactive)
Luiz Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Trindade
(Red Card)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Bruno Jose
(Yellow Cards)
Luis Oyama
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Criciúma: Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
Pablo Dyego
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Brazil
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Alisson (G) 
Borasi B. 
Ruiz O. 
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