Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 5

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Vuaden L. (Bra)


	Criciúma		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.1
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.86	3.31	5.08
	1.83	3.2	4.5
	1.85	3.42	4.45
	1.86	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)	3.33 ↑ (3.21)	4.46 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
51%

Draw
28%

Ituano
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

28%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Criciúma - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: Criciúma will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 3.

Criciúma in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Eder (Injury) Helder Santos (Injury) Marquinhos Gabriel (Injury) Tony (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Claudinho (Injury) Iury (Injury) Jose Aldo (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.05.23	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
28.04.23	Criciúma - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Criciúma - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.04.23	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWW
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.23	Ituano - ABC	3:0 ✺
28.04.23	Guarani - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.04.23	Ituano - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.23	Tombense - Ituano	3:0 ✺
14.04.23	Ituano - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.10.22	Criciúma - Ituano	3:0
02.07.22	Ituano - Criciúma	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
31.10.21	Criciúma - Ituano	0:0
10.10.21	Ituano - Criciúma	0:2
04.08.21	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0
29.05.21	Criciúma - Ituano	1:0
14.11.20	Criciúma - Ituano	0:2

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