Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 4

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)


	Ituano		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.94	3.3	3.7
	2.18	3.15	3.89
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.98	3.28	4.05
	2.01	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	3.86 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
46.7%

Draw
29.1%

ABC
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Ituano - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: Ituano will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Ituano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ABC has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ABC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ituano is a favorite.

There will not play in Ituano: Claudinho (Injury) Iury (Injury) Jose Aldo (Injury)

There will not play in ABC: Bruno Lima (Injury) Walfrido (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.23	Guarani - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.04.23	Ituano - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.23	Tombense - Ituano	3:0 ✺
14.04.23	Ituano - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	São Paulo - Ituano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWT
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
30.04.23	ABC - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.04.23	Grêmio - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.04.23	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Londrina - ABC	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.04.23	ABC - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLLL

Ituano - ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide