Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 21

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Peru	L1 Play
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz


	Criciúma		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.35
	3.25	3.2	2.3
	3.41	3.24	2.31
	3.32	3.19	2.3	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.31	3.25	2.27	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Criciúma
29.4%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Mineiro
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético Mineiro aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Criciúma - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 29. Figueiredo T. 4. Angel W. 14. Trauco M. 5. Higor Meritao 8. Newton 7. Fellipe Mateus 22. Marcelo Hermes 11. Bolasie Y. 23. Citadin E. (C)	31. Matheus Mendes (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 21. Battaglia R. 8. Alonso J. 13. Guilherme Arana (C) 5. Otavio 23. Franco A. 6. Gustavo Scarpa 20. Bernard 10. Paulinho 11. Eduardo Vargas
Substitutes
73. Adriano Filho 25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 15. Eliedson 66. Guilherme 43. Jackson Henrique 21. Joao Carlos 13. Jonathan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 6. Ronald Lopes 32. Teixeira M. (G) 33. Walisson Maia	3. Bruno Fuchs 42. Cadu 18. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 17. Igor Gomes 16. Igor Rabello 25. Mariano 30. Palacios Alzate B. 27. Paulo Vitor 44. Rubens 15. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Otavio 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Higor Meritao ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
61', Bernard ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
61', Otavio ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
61', Citadin E. ↓, Allano ↑,
64', Alonso J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Angel W. ⚽, Newton (A),
68', Alonso J. ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
68', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Cadu ↑,
78', Renzo Saravia ↓, Rubens ↑,
83', Claudinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
83', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
83', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Jonathan ↑,
90', Bolasie Y. ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
90', Trauco M. ↓, Marquinhos Gabriel ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Cadu ⚽, Bruno Fuchs (A),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Recent matches Criciúma is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético MG is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético MG will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Criciúma: Matheusinho (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Alisson (Ankle Injury) Everson (Finger Injury) Lyanco (Red Card)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.24	Juventude - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Criciúma - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Flamengo - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Corinthians - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	Criciúma - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLT
- Atlético Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
31.07.24	CRB Maceio - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
11.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
17.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Criciúma	1:1
04.10.14	Criciúma - Atlético Mineiro	3:1
25.05.14	Atlético Mineiro - Criciúma	0:0
25.09.13	Criciúma - Atlético Mineiro	1:1
07.07.13	Atlético Mineiro - Criciúma	3:2

Upcoming Matches