Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Junior Barranquilla		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.78	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.72
	2.85	3.2	2.66
	2.62	3.2	2.45
	2.79	3.34	2.6	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.62)	3.24 ↑ (3.09)	2.59 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
34.3%

Draw
29.2%

Botafogo RJ
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

32%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Junior Barranquilla - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mele S. (G) 3. Herrera E. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 18. Olivera E. 12. Fuentes G. 6. Moreno D. 24. Cantillo V. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 99. Enamorado J. 20. Caicedo D. 70. Bacca C. (C)	1. Fernandez R. (C) 22. Suarez D. 15. Bastos 20. Barboza A. 16. Hugo 26. Gregore 6. Tche Tche 77. Diego Hernandez 70. Romero O. 67. Yarlen 11. Junior Santos
Substitutes
7. Berrio L. 19. Cantillo C. 88. Castrillon B. 8. Chara Y. 10. Gonzalez L. 16. Hernandez V. 80. Hinojosa R. 30. Martinez J. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 23. Rodriguez S. 13. Velez Carey J. J. 33. Zalazar N.	79. Fabiano 32. Jacob Montes 12. John Victor (G) 25. Kaue 3. Lucas Halter 7. Luiz Henrique 17. Marlon Freitas 8. Patrick de Paula 4. Ponte M. 97. Raul (G) 44. Segovia L. 9. Tiquinho Soares
Coaches
Reyes A.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Bastos 🟨,
19', Herrera E. 🟨,
24', Cantillo V. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
45+3', Barboza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tche Tche ↓, Marlon Freitas ↑,
56', Yarlen ↓, Fabiano ↑,
61', Diego Hernandez 🟥,
68', Romero O. ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
72', Caicedo D. ↓, Hernandez V. ↑,
72', Bacca C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
78', Junior Santos ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
78', Hugo ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
83', Fuentes G. 🟨,
87', Gonzalez L. ↓, Hinojosa R. ↑,
88', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Velez Carey J. J. ↑,
88', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,

Preview

Junior is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Botafogo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Junior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Junior won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
25.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0 ✺
22.05.24	Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pereira	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.24	LDU Quito - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.05.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTLWT
- Botafogo RJ
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.24	Botafogo RJ - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Botafogo RJ - Junior Barranquilla	1:3

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