Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 7

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)


	Criciúma		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.87
	4.5	3.3	1.85
	4.9	3.41	1.89
	4.9	3.41	1.86
	4.4	3.4	1.8
	4.98	3.36	1.86	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.57)	3.34 ↓ (3.71)	1.86 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
20.4%

Draw
28.4%

Palmeiras
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.6%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	4%	80%

Criciúma - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 150. Rodrigo (C) 4. Angel W. 22. Marcelo Hermes 88. Gustavo Barreto 5. Higor Meritao 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 17. Matheusinho 11. Bolasie Y. 23. Citadin E.	21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 5. Moreno A. 27. Rios R. 23. Raphael Veiga 20. Romulo 41. Estevao 10. Rony
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 45. Arthur Caike 30. Barcia M. 9. Felipe Vizeu 29. Figueiredo T. 21. Joao Carlos 13. Jonathan 8. Newton 6. Ronald Lopes 14. Trauco M. 33. Walisson Maia	16. Caio Paulista 35. Fabinho 25. Gabriel Menino 32. Garcia 40. Jhon Jhon 17. Lazaro 13. Luan 31. Luis Guilherme 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 34. Naves 6. Vanderlan 8. Ze Rafael
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Ferreira A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Matheusinho 🟨,
33', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Romulo ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
46', Estevao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
62', Higor Meritao 🟨,
65', Rodrigo 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
69', 1 - 1, Matheusinho ⚽,
70', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
70', Citadin E. ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
72', Moreno A. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
73', Claudinho ↓, Jonathan ↑,
73', Matheusinho ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
76', Piquerez J. ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
82', Raphael Veiga ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
87', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Allano ↑,
88', Gustavo 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Lazaro ⚽, Gustavo Gomez (A),
90+4', Caio Paulista 🟨,
90+5', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
90+5', Ze Rafael 🟨,
90+6', Gustavo Gomez 🟨,
90+6', Allano 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Criciúma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Criciúma - Bahia	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Bahia - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.24	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	0:4 ✺
17.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Criciúma - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLWTT
- Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	Palmeiras - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.09.14	Palmeiras - Criciúma	1:0
20.04.14	Criciúma - Palmeiras	1:2

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