Match Info

Catarinense - Losers Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)


	Criciúma		Camboriú

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.33	7.75
	1.42	3.8	11.69
	1.45	3.73	8.91	Watch
	1.44	3.5	7
	1.46	3.71	7.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.32)	3.81 ↓ (4.5)	8.62 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
65%

Draw
24.2%

Camboriú
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

20.2%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

18.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Criciúma - Camboriú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 11. Diego Goncalves 8. Guilherme Lobo 7. Hiago Alves 10. Jhonata Robert 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 3. Rodrigo (C) 5. Sandry 13. Waguininho	1. Vava (G) 18. Alysson Dutra 5. Choco 23. Danilo Mendes 14. Hygor 13. Junior Santos 10. Mansur 11. Nilton 16. Reginaldo 26. Silva (C) 7. Wermeson
Substitutes
20. Bidu 17. Eliel Costa 15. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 16. Leo Mana 22. Marcelo Hermes 18. Nufour S. 14. Ruan Carvalho 12. Santos P. (G) 19. Thales 23. Thiaguinho 2. Willean Lepo	3. Daniel Blanco 22. Julio Cesar (G) 9. Kaka 17. Kennedy 25. Leo Vieira 12. Lucas Gomes (G) 20. Macias J. 15. Matheus Belem 19. Mikael Mendes 8. Nadson 21. Ricardinho 27. Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Alisson 🟨,
13', 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Wermeson (Penalty Awarded),
22', 1 - 1, Waguininho ⚽,
25', 🟨,
45+5', Rodrigo 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
46', Nicolas ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
50', Hygor 🟨,
54', Jhonata Robert (Penalty Awarded),
55', 2 - 1, Jhonata Robert ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Mansur ⚽,
66', Sandry ↓, Ruan Carvalho ↑,
66', Diego Goncalves ↓, Marcelo Hermes ↑,
67', Mansur ↓, Nadson ↑,
68', 🟨,
73', Waguininho 🟨,
73', Nilton 🟨,
77', Hygor 🟨,
78', Hiago Alves ↓, Thales ↑,
82', Nilton ↓, Matheus Belem ↑,
82', Choco ↓, Macias J. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Jean Irmer ⚽,
84', Macias J. 🟨,
90+3', Reginaldo ↓, Kaka ↑,
90+3', Junior Santos ↓, Silva M. ↑,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Jhonata Robert (Penalty Awarded),
1, Wermeson (Penalty Awarded),
2, Marcinho (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kaka (Penalty Awarded),
3, Jean Irmer (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nadson (Penalty Awarded),
4, Joao Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
4, Danilo Mendes (Penalty Awarded),
5, Waguininho (Penalty Awarded),
5, Macias J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Luciano Castan (Penalty Awarded),
6, Silva M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Marcelo Hermes (Penalty Awarded),
7, Matheus Belem (Penalty Awarded),
8, Thales (Penalty Awarded),
8, Alysson Dutra (Penalty Awarded),
9, Ruan Carvalho (Penalty Awarded),
9, Silva (Penalty Awarded),
10, Alisson (Penalty Awarded),
10, Vava (Penalty Awarded),
11, Jhonata Robert (Penalty Awarded),
11, Wermeson (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 3.

Recent performances by Criciúma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Camboriú is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Criciúma has had a series of away games.

In this match, Criciúma is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	4:0 ✺
12.02.26	Concórdia - Criciúma	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Chapecoense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWTT
- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:0
22.01.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:2
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
04.10.25	Camboriú - Criciúma	3:3
14.09.25	Criciúma - Camboriú	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.23	Camboriú - Criciúma	0:3
09.04.16	Criciúma - Camboriú	5:0
18.02.16	Camboriú - Criciúma	3:5

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