Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)


	Criciúma		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	1.84	3.1	4.6
	2.07	2.93	4.74
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.9	3.3	4.4
	1.91	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	4.24 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
48.2%

Draw
30%

Guarani
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	16%	12%

Criciúma - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Alisson (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Rayan 22. Marcelo Hermes 70. Italo Melo 42. Miqueias 8. Arilson 11. Fabinho 9. Felipe Vizeu 7. Fellipe Mateus	1. Pegorari (G) 13. Diogo Mateus (C) 34. Walber 3. Lucao 6. Mayk 5. Matheus Barbosa 18. Matheus Bueno 17. Bruno Jose 19. Joao Victor 27. Bruninho 11. Derek
Substitutes
2. Cristovam 18. Crystopher 55. Fernando Canesin 6. Helder Santos 21. Joao Carlos 12. Kaua Moroso (G) 5. Leo Costa 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 14. Matheus Mancini 17. Romulo 99. Tiago Marques 15. Welinton Torrao	22. Alvaro (G) 9. Bruno Mendes 15. Eliel 29. Isaque 14. Ivan Alvarino 21. Lucas Araujo 20. Lucas Silva 23. Wenderson 30. Yan
Coaches
Tencati C.	Louzer U.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 8).

Criciúma in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guarani is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Criciúma have a series of guest games.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Eder (Injury) Fernando Canesin (Injury) Marquinhos Gabriel (Injury) Tony (Injury) Walisson (Red Card)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	ABC - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Chapecoense - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	Guarani - Londrina	2:1 ✺
03.07.23	Botafogo SP - Guarani	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Guarani - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Guarani - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Vila Nova - Guarani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.08.22	Criciúma - Guarani	0:0
27.04.22	Guarani - Criciúma	1:0

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