Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Lopez D. (Bra)


	Guarani		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.25
	1.62	3.5	5.4
	1.61	3.8	6.48
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.68	5.8
	1.62	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	5.67 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
57.4%

Draw
26.2%

Londrina
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

26.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

25.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Guarani - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: Guarani will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pegorari (C) 30. Yan 3. Lucao 34. Walber 6. Mayk 5. Matheus Barbosa 18. Matheus Bueno 29. Isaque 17. Bruno Jose 27. Bruninho 11. Derek	1. Neneca (G) 2. Leo Morais 3. Patrick Marcelino 4. Gabriel 5. Joao Paulo (C) 6. Nicolas Schulz 7. Paulinho Moccelin 8. Moises Gaucho 9. Clinton 10. Higor Leite 11. Iago Dias
Substitutes
22. Alvaro (G) 28. Bernardo 9. Bruno Mendes 15. Eliel 19. Joao Victor 8. Lima 21. Lucas Araujo 20. Lucas Silva 7. Neilton 78. Regis 16. Titi 23. Wenderson	13. Da Silva 14. Gustavo Salomao 19. Junior Dutra 18. Lucas Coelho 12. Lucas Frigeri (G) 15. Natham 17. Pedro Cacho 21. Peu 16. Victor Hugo 20. Vinicius Jau
Coaches
Louzer U.	Muller F.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Recent matches Guarani is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Londrina has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Guarani is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guarani won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.23	Botafogo SP - Guarani	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Guarani - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Guarani - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Vila Nova - Guarani	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.07.23	CRB Maceio - Londrina	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Londrina - Juventude	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Avaí - Londrina	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Londrina - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
07.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.10.22	Guarani - Londrina	1:0
24.06.22	Londrina - Guarani	3:1
09.10.21	Guarani - Londrina	3:0
09.07.21	Londrina - Guarani	0:1

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