The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
São Bernardo 24.5%
Draw 28.3%
Criciúma 47.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
30.1%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
29.4%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
São Bernardo - Criciúma Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 77. Marcao Silva 35. Jemerson 90. Luizao 21. Hugo Sanches 8. Foguinho (C) 26. Dudu Miraima 6. Para 31. Lucas Fernandes 9. Felipe Garcia 29. Pedrinho
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 14. Ronald Lopes 7. Fellipe Mateus 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 77. Diego Goncalves 9. Nicolas
Substitutes
97. Augusto 30. Breninho 37. Davi D. 10. Fabricio Daniel 36. Galdino 3. Helder Maciel 42. Hyoran 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 7. Lucas Rian 33. Mario Sergio 11. Pedro Vitor 17. Romisson
34. Bruno Alves 90. Capella 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 6. Marcinho 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 13. Waguininho 33. Yuri Tanque
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin
Umberto Louzer
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Cesar Martins ⚽, Willean Lepo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Cesar Martins ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
61', Otero R. ↓, Waguininho ↑,
66', Para ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
66', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
66', Pedrinho ↓, Davi D. ↑,
69', Nicolas ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
73', Foguinho ↓, Romisson ↑,
80', Luizao ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
85', Diego Goncalves ↓, Gui Lobo ↑,
86', Willean Lepo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
90+8', Felipe Garcia 🟨,
90+8', Gui Lobo 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for São Bernardo: Helder Maciel
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Lima
(Yellow Cards)
Mario Sergio
(Muscle Injury)
Matheus Salustiano
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Ferreira
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for Criciúma: Jhonata Robert
(Yellow Cards)
Romulus
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for São Bernardo: Daniel Amorim
(Inactive).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for São Bernardo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Criciuma
34
17
8
9
35:28
7
59
12
Sao Bernardo
34
12
10
12
46:37
9
46
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Criciuma: 6.5%
Last Results with these Odds
São Bernardo - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Criciúma - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Watch
#ad
Alex Alves (G) 
Otero R. 
