The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 32.5%
Draw 28.3%
Criciúma 39.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
29.2%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
30%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Sport Recife - Criciúma Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 5. Benevenuto (C) 28. Habraao 76. Rai 7. Patrick de Paula 29. Willian Oliveira 30. Chrystian Barletta 20. Diego Hernandez 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 14. Ronald Lopes 7. Fellipe Mateus 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 10. Jhonata Robert 77. Diego Goncalves
Substitutes
80. Andrade K. 75. Arthur Maron 68. Augusto 6. Biel Fonseca 21. Brenno (G) 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 88. Fernando Sobral 8. Juan Alano 31. Marlon Douglas 19. Neto Pessoa 23. Ze Gabriel
34. Bruno Alves 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 13. Waguininho 33. Yuri Tanque
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.
Recife has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Criciúma is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Criciúma: Romulus
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Recife: Felipinho
(Knee Injury)
Fernando Sobral
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Recife has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Recife against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Criciuma
35
17
8
10
36:30
6
59
7
Sport Recife
35
14
12
9
47:38
9
54
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Criciuma: 1.33%
Last Results with these Odds
Criciúma - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.75%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Thiago Couto (G) 
Diego Hernandez 
Otero R. 
Soso M. 
